The Scientific Method — Nexial Institute

Cannons of Inquiry — Descartes (1596–1650 AD)

The Scientific Method

A systematic framework for the acquisition of reliable knowledge — from observation through judgment, with safeguards against error at every step.

J. H. L. Lawler

Foundation

Observation First — Always

The scientific method begins not with reason, but with observation — measurement, hopefully with as much precision as possible, and with a stated estimate of probable error so we know just how precise or imprecise our data actually are.

This key principle was introduced first by Roger Bacon (1214–1294): "Reasoning does NOT suffice, experience does." It was then advanced by Galileo Galilei (1564–1624) to modify and ultimately reject the introspective philosophy of St. Augustine (345–430 AD), which had dominated scholasticism by rejecting external reality.

What follows is a structured account of the full method — from initial observation through rationalization, experimentation, judgment, and the critical safeguards of contradiction, parsimony, completeness, and irrelevance.

Reasoning does NOT suffice — experience does.

Roger Bacon (1214–1294)

Step B — Expanded

The Five Sub-Steps of Rationalization

B.1

Assumptions

Pythagoras (ca. 582–530 BC); Euclid (330–260 BC)

We should try to state all assumptions — the acceptance of certain premises as true without further consideration as to their validity. Particularly hidden or unstated assumptions built into prior concepts can be dangerous if we do not know we are making them.

B.2

Abstraction

J. S. Mill (1806–1873)

The process of selecting what we think are the pertinent facts from the data and discarding presumably irrelevant data and unneeded observations. Note that abstraction can create errors by discarding really relevant facts.

B.3

Selection of Descriptions

Anaxagoras (488–428 BC); Pythagoras; Plato (427–347 BC); Kant ca. 1800

Selection of variables, including the terms in mathematics and physics. Irrelevance steps in at this point to help eliminate bad choices of variables and descriptions.

B.4

Induction

Aristotle (384–322 BC); Francis Bacon (1561–1626); Plato (427–347 BC)

Going from the particular to the general. Francis Bacon tried to replace strictly deductive logic with induction. This forms the ascending ladder: Hypothesis (little testing, tentative, lots of skepticism) → Theory (more testing, more reliable) → Law (lots of testing, reliable, little skepticism). In other words, we form a simplified mental picture of how we think nature operates.

B.5

Deduction

Aristotle; Euclid (ca. 330–260 BC); G. Boole (1815–1864); Immanuel Kant (1724–1804)

From the mental concept we predict what we think will happen in future events. We form mental pictures which we hope will match reality. Thus we do not have to actually perform all actions to know what will probably happen — we can think and deduce events instead of trying all options.

The Method — Step by Step

Cannons of Inquiry

Observation

Roger Bacon (1214–1294); Galileo Galilei (1564–1624)

We start with observation — not reason. Measurement, hopefully with as much precision as possible, with a stated probable error. This is the key step. Galileo used it to reject the scholastic philosophy of St. Augustine, which had dominated by rejecting external reality in favor of introspection.

Rationalization

Multiple contributors — see sub-steps

Second comes reason: thinking about the observed data. Rationalization has five sub-steps — Assumptions, Abstraction, Selection of Descriptions, Induction, and Deduction — each with its own history and its own potential for error.

Experimentation (Controlled Observation)

Strato, 288 BC

Controlled, deliberate action to make new predicted observations under controlled conditions. This is a loop back to step A — observation — completing the cycle. The experiment tests the predictions generated by rationalization against reality.

Judgement

Socratic inquiry, 470–399 BC

From the predictions it is possible to apply value judgments to possible events — to elect those we desire and to avoid those we think we will not like. The scientific method thus allows us to select action choices which match our ethical values. However: we should NEVER use judgment to direct the formation of inductions, only observations. Using judgment to guide induction results in wishful interpretations of reality, not based on observation. This backwards step has perhaps caused more human misery than anything else.

Contradiction

Foundational principle

If there is a contradiction between what we predicted (rationalized) and what we observe, then the error was in the mental process. Nature — reality — is never wrong. The contradiction is always in our model, not in the data.

Occam's Razor — Simplest Hypothesis

William of Occam (1284–1349)

Given two hypotheses, reject the more complicated and accept the simplest. Nature operates simply; excessive complexity is usually a hint that our mental construct is partially wrong — and thus just plain wrong. "It is vain to do with more when we could do with less."

Occam's Corollary — Completeness

William of Occam (1284–1349)

Reject any hypothesis that is not complete and does not explain all the data. Parsimony without completeness is insufficient — the simplest hypothesis must also account for every observation.

Interdependence

Hippocrates ca. 460 BC; Imhotep ca. 2850 BC

The experimentalist interacts with the experiment. This must be accounted for — one must take into account one's own existence as part of the universe. The double-blind method is one way to reduce this effect, and it must not be ignored.

History

Foundational principle

The record of past events — experimental observations, data, and past rationalization (the mental constructs, hypotheses, laws, and theories) — is a foundation for science. We use past records and build upon them to avoid having to redo every single experiment for every student. Students need to redo enough experiments and deductive chains to feel confident even in those they did not personally repeat.

Anti-Authoritarianism

Francis Bacon (1561–1603); Dr. Gilbert (1540–1603); John Napier (1550–1617)

Authority may never be cited as an argument for or against any hypothesis. Theory may not be used to refute theory. Only the facts — observations — may be used to judge the success or failure of any theory. An individual who relies on authority is dealing with politics, not science. Any person who stoops to personalities and authoritarianism is not a true scientist. The scientist considers reality, data, and observations — not personality.

Reproducibility — Cause and Effect

J. S. Mill; David Hume (1711–1776)

It is assumed that experiments can be repeated, and that if the same conditions are established the same results will occur. There is a cause-effect relationship in conditions and results. Note that determination and separation of cause from effect may not be easy — an apparent cause-effect may actually both be effects from a more fundamental prior cause, or all may be co-symptoms of other unobserved causative effects.

Variability

Heraclitus (540–475 BC); W. Heisenberg (1901–1976)

Everything is in a state of change, in flux. History also consists of irreproducible results — unique situations which can never be closely approximated again. In fact all experiments are slightly different; we never exactly reproduce the same conditions in any two experiments. (Darius ca. 320 BC: "You can never step twice in the same stream.") The key to science is to get conditions close enough so that the variations do not change the outcome. This is also tied to the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle, particularly at the microscopic level.

Irrelevance

J. H. L. Lawler (1936– ), 1969

Every variable or concept has a domain over which it is valid. Outside that domain the variables or concepts become irrelevant, and other variables or concepts must be used to describe phenomena and events. Irrelevance also steps in during the selection of descriptions to help eliminate bad choices of variables.

The Critical Warning

We should NEVER EVER use judgment to direct the formation of inductions — only observations. Using judgments results in wishful interpretations of reality, not based upon observation. This backwards step has perhaps caused more human misery than anything else.